El Mundo opinion poll shows PP on course for massive victory

Another great in-depth poll comes to us today courtesy of El Mundo and Sigma Dos. With exactly one week to go before polling day, it will make grim reading for the Socialists and give a confidence boost to the PP.

The full findings are behind a paywall (here), but the main points are as follows:

  • After last week’s televised presidential debate between the Partido Popular’s Mariano Rajoy and the PSOE’s Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba, the PP has extended its lead to 17.8 points. (PP – 47.6% , PSOE – 29.8%)
  • The Partido Popular is on course to win 198 seats (currently 154) while the PSOE will fall to 112 (currently 169).
  • The PP will top the polls in every single Autonomous Community, except for Catalonia(where the PSC will come first) and Navarre(where the PNV will come first).
  • When asked to rank party leaders participants placed Rajoy first while Rubalcaba came third behind UPyD’s Rosa Díez.

If these predictions come true Rajoy will be very close to the record number of deputies for one party achieved at an election (202 deputies in 1982 by Felipe González’s PSOE). Conversely, the Socialists will suffer their worst defeat ever – worse even than the 125 seats they gained under Joaquín Almunia in 2000.

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